Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Preview College Football Saturday

caleb tallman
Caleb Tallman
NCAA Football Sports News


  • Michigan vs. Penn State: A top-10 college football clash.
  • We predict a close game, giving Michigan the edge.
  • Key players and betting insights for the big showdown.

In the heart of Happy Valley, Big Ten East rivals clash as the 3rd-ranked Michigan Wolverines go head-to-head with the 10th-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions. This pivotal matchup could have significant implications for the College Football Playoff picture. As the two top-10 teams prepare to face off, let's look at the PA odds and key players that could shape this high-stakes encounter.

Key Matchup of Top-10 Teams

In this Week 11 college football showdown, Michigan and Penn State meet in a game with significant playoff implications. The Wolverines, sitting at 9-0, boast a potent offense that averages 40.7 points per game, ranking 6th in the nation. Their defense is equally impressive, allowing a mere 6.7 points per game, securing the top spot in that category. On the other side of the field, the Nittany Lions, with an 8-1 record, possess the 3rd-best scoring defense, conceding just 11.9 points per game.

PSU's Quest to Overtake the Big Two

While Penn State has consistently been a competitive program, they often find themselves in the shadows of Ohio State and Michigan within the Big Ten East. However, a victory over the Wolverines would be a significant statement. They've already faced Ohio State and suffered a loss, but a win over Michigan would narrow the gap and position them just one game behind Ohio State in the division. For Penn State, this is a golden opportunity to challenge the East's established hierarchy.

Wolverines' Offensive Prowess

Michigan enters the game as the top-ranked team in scoring defense, allowing just 6.7 points per game. Their offense has been equally impressive, with the Wolverines consistently scoring over 40 points in their last five games. This offensive firepower could prove to be a significant factor in the outcome of the game.

Analyzing the Odds
When examining the point spread, Michigan is currently favored by 4.5 points against Penn State DraftKings. The total point over/under for the game is set at 45.5 points. The moneyline odds favor Michigan at -200 and Penn State at +150.

Point Spread Recommendations
For those considering placing bets on the game based on these projections, several recommendations emerge:

  1. Michigan -4.5: The Wolverines are the favorites with a 4.5-point spread, reflecting their strong performance this season. PA Bettors who back Michigan to cover the spread could capitalize on the projected outcome.
  2. Wolverines on the Moneyline (-200): The moneyline odds indicate a strong likelihood of Michigan winning outright. Betting on the Wolverines to secure the victory offers reasonable odds and a solid return on investment.
  3. Bet Over 45.5 Points: With an over/under set at 45.5 points, betting on the game to exceed this total may be an enticing option, especially given Michigan's consistent high-scoring games.

Key Players and Stats
Examining the standout players and key statistics for both teams can shed light on the factors that will influence the game's outcome.

Michigan Wolverines

  • J.J. McCarthy (QB): McCarthy has been instrumental, amassing 2,134 passing yards with a 75.7% completion rate, along with 18 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions. On the ground, he's contributed 137 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns.
  • Blake Corum (RB): Corum has been a powerhouse in the running game, accumulating 649 yards and an impressive 16 touchdowns. He averages 72.1 yards per game with a robust 5.2 yards per carry.
  • Roman Wilson (WR): Wilson is a significant receiving threat, with 36 receptions for 589 yards and 10 touchdowns. He averages 65.4 yards per game.
    Colston Loveland (TE): Loveland has been a valuable asset in the passing game, tallying 27 receptions for 419 yards and 4 touchdowns, with an average of 46.6 yards per game.
  • Michael Barrett (LB): As a key defender, Barrett has recorded 32 tackles, although he hasn't registered any tackles for loss. He's also secured one sack.

Penn State Nittany Lions

  • Drew Allar (QB): Allar, Penn State's quarterback, has demonstrated his skills with 1,895 passing yards, a 62.8% completion rate, 20 touchdowns, and just 1 interception. His contributions aren't limited to passing, as he's gained 100 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns.
  • Nicholas Singleton (RB): Singleton, a pivotal figure in Penn State's running game, has accumulated 480 yards and 7 touchdowns. He averages 53.3 yards per game with 4.0 yards per carry. In addition, Singleton has caught 19 passes for 148 receiving yards and a touchdown.
  • KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR): Lambert-Smith is a reliable wide receiver for Penn State, amassing 51 receptions for 645 yards and 4 touchdowns, with an average of 71.7 yards per game.
  • Kaytron Allen (RB): Allen has made significant contributions to the running game with 573 yards and 4 touchdowns. He averages 63.7 yards per game, with a strong 4.8 yards per carry.
  • Adisa Isaac (DE): As a defensive end, Isaac has showcased his abilities with 22 tackles, 9.0 tackles for loss, and 6.5 sacks.

A huge sports fan; locally, many know me as the guy who does the PA for our high school football team on Friday nights. Having grown up in Michigan, I am a sports fan of all the Detroit teams, and at the college level, I love Michigan State sports. I have covered sports betting, iGaming and casino industry news for many well known websites.