NFL: Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers - Odds, Prediction & Picks

NFL Bills vs Steelers
NFL Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

In a highly anticipated showdown for the AFC Wild Card, the Buffalo Bills and the Pittsburgh Steelers are set to clash at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, on Sunday, January 14, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET. The Bills, riding a formidable five-game winning streak and having secured the AFC East title, emerge as substantial favorites with a commanding 10-point spread at most PA Sportsbooks. Spearheading Buffalo's dynamic offensive charge is quarterback Josh Allen, orchestrating an attack that averages an impressive 26.5 points per game. Meanwhile, the Bills' defense, allowing an average of 18.3 points, adds a robust layer to their playoff aspirations.

On the opposing side, the Pittsburgh Steelers, buoyed by a resilient three-game winning streak, are ready to embrace their underdog status under the seasoned guidance of Coach Mike Tomlin. Quarterback Mason Rudolph leads the charge for the Steelers' offense, and with a defense limiting opponents to 19.1 points per game, they present a formidable challenge.

As both teams gear up for this critical postseason clash, the narrative is one of high stakes and intense competition. The Bills, with their eyes on a deep playoff run, face a Steelers team determined to defy expectations. Highmark Stadium is the battleground, promising PA sports bettors a thrilling encounter with playoff implications that could potentially shape the trajectory of both teams in the quest for Super Bowl glory.

Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Best Odds

Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Analysis

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers, accustomed to postseason success, face challenges with injuries to Najee Harris and T.J. Watt. With a resilient spirit, they rely on experience, and the leadership of coach Mike Tomlin, aiming to defy odds and make an impact in the playoffs.

Pittsburgh Steelers Injury Report:

  • Najee Harris (RB) - Questionable
  • Trenton Thompson (S) - Injured Reserve
  • Elandon Roberts (LB) - Questionable
  • Isaac Seumalo (G) - Questionable
  • T.J. Watt (LB) - Out

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills enter the AFC Wild Card clash with an explosive offense led by quarterback Josh Allen, averaging 26.5 points per game. Despite facing injuries to key players like Taylor Rapp and Rasul Douglas, the Bills are confident in their dynamic playmakers. With a mix of passing prowess and a sturdy defense, they aim to overcome obstacles and secure a playoff victory.

Buffalo Bills Injury Report:

  • Taylor Rapp (S) - Questionable
  • Rasul Douglas (CB) - Questionable
  • Tyrel Dodson (LB) - Questionable
  • Ty Johnson (RB) - Questionable
  • Gabe Davis (WR) - Questionable
  • Dion Dawkins (OT) - Questionable

Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Key Points and Trends

Head-to-Head: In their recent matchups, the Steelers have had the upper hand against the Bills, securing victories in three out of their last five head-to-head encounters.

Two things PA bettors must know before placing a bet on this game

  • Injury Impact Assessment: Both teams face uncertainties due to key player injuries, potentially influencing the match's dynamics.
  • Offensive Powerhouses: The game features high-scoring offenses, with star players like Josh Allen and Najee Harris leading their respective teams. This suggests a potential for an exciting, high-scoring clash.

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Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Match Prediction

The upcoming showdown between the Steelers and Bills promises a thrilling contest for Pennsylvania sports bettors, and assessing the Steelers' performance is crucial in predicting the game's outcome.

The Steelers enter the matchup with a commendable 10-7 record and a significant momentum boost from their recent victory against the Ravens. Their resilience, especially in securing wins as underdogs, showcases their ability to rise to the occasion.


While the Bills are rightfully considered favorites with a 10-point spread, the Steelers' proficiency as underdogs, coupled with their historical success against the Bills, makes the +10 spread an enticing prospect. The Steelers have a knack for keeping games close, making them a strong choice against a double-digit spread.


PA Sportsbooks give the Steelers a +380 moneyline, indicating a 20.0% chance of an outright victory. Considering the Steelers' recent successes as underdogs and their historical edge over the Bills, this moneyline presents an intriguing opportunity for those seeking higher returns.


With an O/U of 36 at DraftKings PA, the game is expected to be relatively low-scoring. The Steelers' defensive prowess, led by T.J. Watt, suggests the potential for a game where they can keep the score tight. If the Steelers can control the pace and limit the Bills' high-scoring offense, taking the under becomes a strategic choice.

In conclusion, the Steelers, equipped with a resilient underdog mentality and historical success against the Bills, present a compelling case for a close game. Betting on the Steelers to cover the spread and potentially secure an outright victory could prove lucrative, while the under appears favorable given the defensive strengths of the Steelers.

Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Best Bet:

Steelers +10 (-112) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The best bet with both value and probability on DraftKings PA Sportsbook for the Steelers vs. Bills matchup is the Steelers +10 spread. With a historical edge over the Bills and a track record of performing well as underdogs, the +10 spread offers substantial value. The Steelers, known for keeping games close, make this spread enticing. 

Additionally, the probability of the Steelers staying within the double-digit spread is high, making it a strategic choice. This market aligns with the Steelers' recent form and historical success, presenting an opportunity to capitalize on favorable odds PA football bettors while maintaining a strong likelihood of covering.

A huge sports fan; locally, many know me as the guy who does the PA for our high school football team on Friday nights. Having grown up in Michigan, I am a sports fan of all the Detroit teams, and at the college level, I love Michigan State sports. I have covered sports betting, iGaming and casino industry news for many well known websites.