NFL 2023 Divisional Round – Odds, Predictions & Picks

caleb tallman
By:
Caleb Tallman
01/18/2024
NFL
NFL 2023 | Divisional Round

The NFL Divisional Round is set to deliver an electrifying weekend of football action, featuring four thrilling matchups that will determine which teams advance to the Conference Championships. In the AFC, the Houston Texans, fresh off an impressive Wild Card victory, collide with the Baltimore Ravens, who boast a formidable defense. 

On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs face the Buffalo Bills in a clash of offensive titans. Meanwhile, in the NFC, the Green Bay Packers, led by Jordan Love, take on the San Francisco 49ers, and the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers go head-to-head with the Detroit Lions. Brace yourselves for a weekend of epic battles, playoff drama, and high-stakes football betting odds.

Odds provided by Fanduel

GamesAway OddsHome OddsInfo (EST)
Texans @ Ravens+370-480M&T Bank Stadium, Saturday 4.30pm
Packers @ 49ers+350-450Levi's Stadium, Saturday 8:15pm
Buccaneers @ Lions+220-270Ford Field, Sunday 3:00pm
Chiefs @ Bills+122-144Highmark Stadium, Sunday 6:30pm

Houston Texans (10-7) vs Baltimore Ravens (13-4)

Houston TexansBaltimore Ravens

In a highly anticipated AFC Divisional Playoff matchup, the Houston Texans (11-7) are set to clash with the Baltimore Ravens (13-4) at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland, on Saturday, January 20, 2024. This showdown promises to be a thrilling contest with significant playoff implications, and sports bettors have been eagerly awaiting this clash.

The Houston Texans are coming off an impressive performance in the AFC Wildcard game, where they dominated the Cleveland Browns with a commanding 45-14 victory. Quarterback C.J. Stroud showcased his skills with 274 yards passing and three touchdowns, while the Texans' defense held firm, allowing just 10 points.

On the other side, the Baltimore Ravens are a formidable force to reckon with, despite a recent loss to the Steelers. Lamar Jackson continues to be a dual-threat quarterback, and the Ravens' defense is known for its tenacity and ability to control the game.

Betting Tips:

  • Consider the Under: With the total set at 43.5 points at Caesars, both teams have shown defensive prowess. The Texans' defense has been solid, and the Ravens have one of the best defenses in the league. This game could be lower-scoring than expected.
  • Texans' Team Total Under: Given the weather conditions and the Ravens' strong defense, consider betting on the Texans scoring under 17.5 points. Playing in cold weather against a rested defense could pose challenges for Houston's offense.
  • Ravens to Control the Clock: Baltimore may focus on their running game to control the clock, limiting the number of possessions for both teams. This could impact the total points scored in the game.

Houston Texans

The Houston Texans enter this AFC Divisional Playoff game with an impressive 11-7 record. They showcased their offensive firepower in the Wild Card round, putting up 45 points against the Cleveland Browns. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has been a revelation, with over 4,100 passing yards this season. Their offense, led by Stroud and playmakers like Nico Collins and Devin Singletary, can be explosive. However, they face a tough challenge against the Ravens' defense. On the defensive side, the Texans have shown the ability to make key stops when it matters most. Their performance in this game will be crucial to their chances of advancing.

Houston Texans Injury Report:

  • Will Anderson Jr. (DE) - Questionable
  • Robert Woods (WR) - Questionable
  • Christian Harris (LB) - Questionable
  • Kris Boyd (CB) - Questionable
  • Sheldon Rankins (DT) - Questionable
  • Jonathan Greenard (DE) - Questionable
  • Dieter Eiselen (G) - Questionable
  • Blake Cashman (LB) - Questionable
  • Maliek Collins (DT) - Questionable
  • Andrew Beck (FB) - Questionable
  • John Metchie III (WR) - Questionable
  • Jerry Hughes (DE) - Questionable
  • Denzel Perryman (LB) - Questionable

Baltimore Ravens

The Baltimore Ravens finished the regular season with an impressive 13-4 record and secured a first-round bye. Led by star quarterback Lamar Jackson, the Ravens have one of the most dynamic offenses in the league. Jackson's ability to both pass and run makes him a constant threat. The Ravens' ground game, led by Gus Edwards, is formidable, averaging 156.5 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Ravens are a force to be reckoned with, ranking first in points allowed per game (16.5). They have playmakers like Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen who can disrupt opposing offenses. With a well-rounded roster, the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and aim to make a deep playoff run.

Baltimore Ravens Injury Report:

  • Marlon Humphrey (CB) - Questionable
  • Tylan Wallace (WR) - Questionable
  • Jadeveon Clowney (LB) - Questionable
  • Mark Andrews (TE) - Injured Reserve
  • Del'Shawn Phillips (LB) - Questionable
     
SportsbookPickOdds
FanDuel SportsbookRavens -9.5-110
DraftKings SportsbookRavens ML-425
Caesars casino logoUnder 43.5 points-110

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Green Bay Packers (9-8) vs San Francisco 49ers (12-5)

Green Bay PackersSan Francisco 49ers

Get ready for an exciting NFC Divisional Playoff clash on January 20, 2024, as the Green Bay Packers take on the San Francisco 49ers. With both teams displaying strong performances this season, this matchup promises to be a high-stakes battle for a spot in the NFC Championship game.

The Packers (10-8) come into this game after an impressive 48-32 Wild Card round victory against the Dallas Cowboys. Led by quarterback Jordan Love and running back Aaron Jones, the Packers showcased their offensive prowess but revealed defensive vulnerabilities.

On the other hand, the 49ers (12-5) faced a narrow 21-20 defeat against the Los Angeles Rams in their recent game. The 49ers secured the No. 1 seed in the NFC, led by quarterback Sam Darnold and running back Elijah Mitchell, with a strong offense averaging 28.9 points per game.

As the Packers face the 49ers, the betting landscape offers intriguing opportunities. The 49ers are favored by 9.5 points, and the over/under is set at 50.5 points at FanDuel.

Betting Tips:

  • Point Spread: Assess whether the 49ers can cover the 9.5-point spread. Keep an eye on the Packers' scoring potential.
  • Total Over/Under: Consider a potentially high-scoring game, making the over a viable bet given both teams' offensive capabilities.
  • Quarterback Performance: Monitor Jordan Love and Sam Darnold's recent form and decision-making, as it can impact the game's outcome.

Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers enter the NFC Divisional Playoff with a season record of 10-8. Led by quarterback Jordan Love and running back Aaron Jones, the Packers boast a potent offense that can put up points in a hurry. In their recent Wild Card round, they secured a convincing 48-32 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. However, the Packers' defense has shown vulnerabilities, allowing 32 points in that game, raising questions about their ability to contain high-powered offenses.

Green Bay Packers Injury Report:

  • Jayden Reed (WR) - Questionable
  • Christian Watson (WR) - Questionable
  • Aaron Jones (RB) - Questionable
  • AJ Dillon (RB) - Questionable
  • Jaire Alexander (CB) - Questionable
  • Preston Smith (LB) - Questionable
  • Isaiah McDuffie (LB) - Questionable
  • Darnell Savage (S) - Questionable
  • Keisean Nixon (CB) - Questionable
  • Jonathan Owens (S) - Questionable
  • Elgton Jenkins (G) - Questionable
  • Rashan Gary (LB) - Questionable
  • Kenny Clark (DT) - Questionable
  • Kingsley Enagbare (LB) - Doubtful

San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers finished the regular season with a strong 12-5 record and secured the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Quarterback Sam Darnold and running back Elijah Mitchell lead the offense, which has averaged an impressive 28.9 points per game. Despite a narrow 21-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in their recent outing, the 49ers' balanced attack and solid defense make them a formidable contender in the playoffs, aiming to secure a spot in the NFC Championship game.

San Francisco 49ers Injury Report:

  • Logan Ryan (S) - Questionable
  • Arik Armstead (DE) - Questionable
  • Dre Greenlaw (LB) - Questionable
  • Clelin Ferrell (DE) - Questionable
SportsbookPickOdds
FanDuel Sportsbook49ers -9.5-105
DraftKings Sportsbook49ers ML-440
Caesars casino logoOver 50.5 points-105

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) vs Detroit Lions (12-5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The NFL playoffs are in full swing, and one of the marquee matchups in the NFC Divisional Round pits the Detroit Lions against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This highly anticipated game is set to take place at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan, on Sunday, January 21, 2024, and it promises to be a clash of football titans.

The Detroit Lions, with a regular-season record of 13-5, come into this game with newfound confidence after securing their first playoff victory in 32 years. They pulled off a dramatic win against the Rams in the Wild Card round, and the city of Detroit is buzzing with excitement. Quarterback Jared Goff has been leading the charge, and with playmakers like Amon-Ra St. Brown and David Montgomery, the Lions boast a potent offense.

On the other side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a record of 10-8, are the defending Super Bowl champions. Led by quarterback Baker Mayfield and star wide receiver Mike Evans, the Buccaneers have a high-octane offense capable of explosive plays. They dispatched the Eagles in the Wild Card round with a commanding 32-9 victory.

Betting Tips:

  • Consider the Over/Under: With a total points line set at 48.5 at BetMGM, keep an eye on the potential for a high-scoring affair. Both teams have the offensive firepower to surpass this mark, but weather conditions and defensive strategies may influence the outcome.
  • Lions' Playoff Momentum: The Lions are riding the wave of their historic playoff win. Momentum can be a crucial factor in playoff games, and it's worth considering how their recent success might impact their performance against the Buccaneers.
  • Quarterback Duel: The matchup between Jared Goff and Baker Mayfield is one to watch. Evaluate their recent performances, passing yards, and touchdown passes leading up to the game. The quarterback who shines on game day could be the key to victory.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, defending Super Bowl champions, are no strangers to playoff success. Led by quarterback Baker Mayfield and superstar wide receiver Mike Evans, their offense has been explosive. Rachaad White adds versatility to their running game. On defense, players like Antoine Winfield Jr. and Lavonte David have been playmakers, creating turnovers and wreaking havoc. Despite a few regular-season hiccups, the Buccaneers remain a formidable force in the postseason. They are determined to defend their title and secure another trip to the Super Bowl, making them a team to watch in the playoffs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report:

  • Chase Edmonds (RB) - Questionable
  • Chris Godwin (WR) - Questionable
  • Yaya Diaby (LB) - Questionable
  • Shaquil Barrett (LB) - Questionable

Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions, long considered underdogs, have emerged as a formidable force in the NFC. Their stunning Wild Card victory over the Rams showcased their resiliency and determination. Led by quarterback Jared Goff, the Lions' offense has found its rhythm, with standout performances from Amon-Ra St. Brown and David Montgomery. Their defense, featuring players like Aidan Hutchinson and Alex Anzalone, has been tenacious, making crucial stops when it matters most. The Lions are riding a wave of playoff momentum and aim to continue their Cinderella story in the quest for a Super Bowl berth.

Detroit Lions Injury Report:

  • Kalif Raymond (WR) - Questionable
  • Frank Ragnow (C) - Questionable
  • Alex Anzalone (LB) - Questionable

 

SportsbookPickOdds
FanDuel SportsbookLions -6.5-108
DraftKings SportsbookLions ML-270
Caesars casino logoOver 48.5 points-110

Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) vs Buffalo Bills (11-6)

Kansas City ChiefsBuffalo Bills

The upcoming AFC Divisional Playoff game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills promises to be a thrilling clash between two formidable teams. Both the Chiefs and the Bills had successful seasons, finishing with identical 12-6 records, and they'll battle it out at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, on Sunday, January 21, 2024.

The Buffalo Bills, led by star quarterback Josh Allen, are coming off an impressive Wild Card victory against the Steelers, where they showcased their offensive prowess. Their ability to put up points and Josh Allen's dynamic playmaking will be key factors to watch in this matchup.

On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, are riding high after a convincing Wild Card win over the Dolphins. Mahomes' ability to make plays with his arm and legs, along with the Chiefs' solid defense, will be crucial aspects for NFL bettors to keep an eye on.

Betting Tips

  • Tight Battle: Look for a close and competitive battle with both teams having potent offenses.
  • Turnovers: Pay attention to turnovers, as both Mahomes and Allen have been known to protect the football well.
  • Elite defenses: Keep an eye on each team's defensive efforts, as the ability to make stops and create turnovers could be a game-changer.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the AFC Divisional Playoff game with a record of 12-6. Led by star quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs have a potent offense capable of explosive plays. Mahomes has a strong supporting cast, including playmakers like Isiah Pacheco and Rashee Rice. On the defensive side, they've shown the ability to make crucial stops, ranking 2nd in points allowed per game. Their recent victory over the Dolphins in the Wild Card game showcased their balanced attack. The Chiefs are known for their playoff prowess, making them a formidable opponent for the Bills.

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report:

  • Kadarius Toney (WR) - Questionable
  • L'Jarius Sneed (CB) - Questionable
  • Derrick Nnadi (DT) - Questionable
  • Justyn Ross (WR) - Questionable
  • Wanya Morris (OT) - Questionable

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills boast a 12-6 record and enter the AFC Divisional Playoff as favorites. Quarterback Josh Allen has been exceptional, combining his passing prowess with rushing abilities. The Bills have a dynamic offense with weapons like James Cook and Stefon Diggs, making them a scoring threat. Their defense has been stout, ranking 7th in points allowed per game. Their convincing win against the Steelers in the Wild Card game demonstrated their playoff readiness. The Bills have a strong desire to return to the Super Bowl, making this matchup with the Chiefs a must-watch showdown.

Buffalo Bills Injury Report:

  • Taron Johnson (CB) - Questionable
  • Taylor Rapp (S) - Questionable
  • Terrel Bernard (LB) - Questionable
  • Christian Benford (CB) - Questionable
  • Gabe Davis (WR) - Questionable
  • Sam Martin (P) - Questionable
  • Baylon Spector (LB) - Questionable
  • Tyrel Dodson (LB) - Questionable
  • Rasul Douglas (CB) - Questionable

     
SportsbookPickOdds
FanDuel SportsbookBills -2.5-120
DraftKings SportsbookBills ML-142
Caesars casino logoUnder 45.5 points-110

A huge sports fan; locally, many know me as the guy who does the PA for our high school football team on Friday nights. Having grown up in Michigan, I am a sports fan of all the Detroit teams, and at the college level, I love Michigan State sports. I have covered sports betting, iGaming and casino industry news for many well known websites.